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Olas Nah

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Everything posted by Olas Nah

  1. Olas Nah

    94.5%

    This ignores hospitalizations, durations of them, side effects, and how the recovery rate you are quoting includes populations almost barely affected, like young children. Depending on your age, your 'recovery rate' can be as low as 20 percent. Currently the case fatality rate for Covid19 (Where you go and get tested and are confirmed to have it) is 2.5%. And while increased testing is trending that 2.5% downwards, just imagine that 2.5 out of every 100 people getting this disease are dying. That's a VERY high number. Many times higher than CFR for seasonal flu, which is barely a tenth of a percent, and even then, only for elderly and other susceptible groups. Depending on who you are, by age range, etc...the CFR is a LOT higher.
  2. You know, there hasn't been much released lately that I've even bothered to watch. I saw 'The Outpost' about that Korengal Valley firefight or whatever, but it seemed to be a rehash of a "Medal of Honor' episode about the same event, and the Prime/episode version was just better in telling the story, although just marginally. It's hard to really tell a good story about a 30 minute firefight that ends with America just blowing the hell out of the Taliban with air support as usual. Heroics aside, just goes to show our overreliance on Air Support in those theatres. Those guys needed either not to be there in the first place, or to have had more dedicated support. Men died essentially for no reason. I suppose I also finally got around to watching the Guy Ritchie movie 'The Gentlemen', but it was a bit slow in pacing and seemed to lack the snappy dialogue of his other films, but fun all the same. Colin Farrell was really good in it, especially with some of the situations his character was in. Funny. Oh... last year I went to see 'The Lighthouse', which had atmosphere of an incredible even mythical nature and then some, but the lovecraftian aspects really end up falling flat and the ending was fairly disappointing. Still, great acting by both Dafoe and the Twilight guy... Pattinson. I'd say you watch the first half (til the storm arrives) and then just bail on the rest of it, and let the mystery be the 'ending' for you.
  3. I don't try to ride if it's below 45, but around here (TN) most days that's usually the high even at the peak of winter. It means I can't go out in the mornings or evenings, but the daytimes are decent. I worked out a reverse layering system with my jersey/gear where instead of having a beefy riding jacket, I instead wear three layers, one is a windproof jacket, and then I have a heavy insulated underarmor shirt, and then if necessary I'll wear a basic underarmor body fit shirt under that. Seems to help deal with my changing temperatures as I start a ride and then get well into it. With gloves I start out with Lobsters on, then switch to some lighter weights once my body temp is up as well.
  4. I know, it's an odd subject to bring up from me, after a super-long hiatus where I occasionally pop into this group once a year, but I'm just curious how cyclists feel about it with respect to how it impacts their riding. With Covid19 in place and me working from home, I get the luxury of riding during the daytime unlike when I was going into the office and I had to wait until dark to ride, or not at all (usually I would just all but quit cycling except on the weekends during the winter), but certainly this situation wont' last, and I'll get angry about the time change again... What say you?
  5. Yeah, I honestly just forget about this site, and I'm on some other social media which has really killed my drive to hit up messageboards where I have to be on PC.
  6. Well, I've lost my enthusiasm for riding (planning a strategy to start riding in the mornings now tho), and even lost my enthusiasm for sim racing. My 5yo son is basically unrestrained all day long at home while my wife and I work and get precious little free time, and the demands of our jobs being what they are keep us busy sometimes into the evenings. I'm eager for 'some' return to normal, like my son starting school again, but I just don't know how this virus thing will play out on that. I'm upset that he'll miss a chance for me to ceremonially walk him to school on his first day, and be excited about his friends from daycare being there, and so on. We chose our house because of its proximity to this school, and now its like its on the other side of the planet.
  7. I would venture they were probably patrolling their... land...
  8. Yeah, that's about the only time I'd ever obtain a firearm again and for this reason. I'll never go into a large forested area without a weapon. My chief concern is people and the second concern would be defense against any animals that are bigger than I'd care for.
  9. Full recovery of the leg anticipated?
  10. Yes, but at a range that was not conducive to seeing its immediate effect. (I am not currently a gun owner, and that (above) was when I was in service. I owned a few guns for some years after leaving, but the ended up collecting dust after I simply lost interest in shooting due to the expense and the culture of it).
  11. Wasn't there a certain movie that was filmed specifically in a high frame rate like this? Ah yes! The Hobbit movies....
  12. There's some occasional kids shows that I've watched with my son that were from before HD. I think what jarred me the most was watching commercials on regular tv. I couldn't stand it...I had to leave.
  13. Haven't seen it yet, but I go to films very rarely these days. I watched "John Wick 3" on a flight from NYC and my lord, it was awful stuff. I cannot stand the shoddy choreography of the gunplay. The right intent is there, but you can tell that the director doesn't believe in editing and quick cuts to avoid the fact that all the actors are clearly preparing to make their moves on a numbered count rather than instinctively. And Wick's virtually only line in the entire movie is "Guns, more guns", straight out of The Matrix.
  14. Two words: It sucked-ish. If you've seen it advertised, this is the black/white film featuring Willem Dafoe and Robert Pattinson as two US Lighthouse crewman who are dropped off to man a lighthouse station for four weeks. It was directed by the same guy who did 'The Witch', which had a very period atmosphere to it with authentic dialogue. The Lighthouse is no different, quickly capturing the same air of authenticity with some truly age of sail sorta lingo from Dafoe (as the old hand). Long story short, the two men never get along very well, but are doing their jobs, and yet they exhibit some fairly typical solitary behaviors, such as Dafoe's character being obsessed with being the only one that goes to the very top of the lighthouse to maintain the Fresnel lens, where he does stuff sometimes like strips naked to 'bathe' in the light and other things. Pattinson being the younger guy appears to behave more normally, constantly complaining about the very hard tasks that Dafoe gives him to complete, but he also starts to see visions of everything from mermaids to tentacled monsters associated with Dafoe's character. In the process, he encounters a seagull with a missing eye that apparently bothers him several times, and Pattinson ends up killing it. (Bad idea...you don't kill gulls because they are inhabited by the souls of dead sailors). The four weeks come to an end, but then no ship arrives to bring replacements, so they are effectively marooned until weather or whatever events delayed the ship play out (this film looks to be set in the 1890's). At this point the men effectively resort to hard drinking, and then Pattinson lets slip that he's not actually a man named Wilson, but rather, he'd assumed the identity of someone who died on a previous job he'd had as a logger, who he may have murdered. As you go along, you realize that while Dafoe's character is an eccentric wizened old man, Pattinson is actually some sort of insane murderer who had hoped to avoid eventual discovery by authorities by taking on a new life/job. The two are somewhat evenly paired, with a sort of truce over drinking, but after long Pattinson can't contain it and winds up killing Dafoe, but not before taking a serious wound. He then climbs finally to see what was so fascinating about the top of the lighthouse, and he has some sort of insane epiphany, but then falls down the lighthouse stairs and incurs several injuries along the way. The final scene is of him on the rocks near the lighthouse, missing an eye, and having his guts pecked out by gulls while he's still alive. I loved the atmosphere of the film. It was shot in a 4:3 ratio, so there's a lot of real estate lost for the scenes you get, but it's got a very old feel to it, like a lost film shot in the late 30's. The dialogue is hard to follow several times, and occasionally you can't see very much on screen. Some shots lacked contrast of any kind. Ultimately I was disapppointed by how predictable the story was. I was expecting some sort of lovecraftian type horror, but instead it was really just a guy losing his mind and the two of them killing each other. The supernatural aspects were just window dressing on the insanity of Pattinson, rather than what I'd hoped would be some interesting turn of events in terms of something mysterious about that lighthouse or whatever. There was also some unnecessary attention to sex in the film, with Pattinson's character wacking off several times, and him dreaming of having sex with a mermaid, even with a mermaid genitalia pictured, which just looks like a giant puzzy. It kinda interferes with the story even, but I guess highlights the increasing isolation that Pattinson experiences, although Dafoe's character appears used to it. Towards the end you see him as more sane than he appeared to be earlier on. The important takeaway is that never let yourself be alone with William Dafoe, because I'm convinced he's really like that in person, and I could see myself killing him.
  15. Olas Nah

    Speed

    I'm still pretty fast for a purely recreational rider nowadays. I ride a typically hilly course usually above 18mph for the total so that's pretty good, although I used to be able to do the same at 20 when I was much lighter.
  16. I don't have the time to really put in long rides anymore. With work commitments, picking up the kid from daycare (which I do for the most part because my wife has a long commute and I don't), I might be able to get out to ride maybe twice during the weekdays and once on the weekends. But it's usually twice. Usually my 'long' ride on a weekend is maybe 40 miles, with my regular rides usually 20 or 25 at most. I'm tired a lot because things keep me up late and early to rise, so I sometimes just don't have the energy to ride very hard either. I have to keep it up to regain some energy, but it's hard when I might have to go 5 days without riding at all. I go to the gym sometimes, but I absolutely HATE using machines and the cycling ones are honestly the worst. That being said, I've been slowly losing some of the Dad weight I gained after my son was born and I was able to get in a decently fast Metric century in early September, although I (due to not eating enough) bonked towards the end. I'm hoping with the coming of Spring I can have some fitness to hit a few group rides where I can be pushed a little bit more and get a bit faster.
  17. Skip gels and eat the Cube gummies. They're not chewy, but more like a fruit snack. Just tear it open before you start your ride and you can feed them like pez as needed. I do hate gels because inevitably you get some of it on your hands.
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  20. I've used Oakley Radars for ten years and never liked anything else. I've tried on just about everything, but only the Oakley's truly fit and fit correctly and are comfortable to the point that I don't even notice that I'm wearing them, and the lenses being super-clear is a must-have.
  21. Like Santy Claus, I enjoyed football as a kid. I thought the teams were local boys, and that there was an element of state/national pride in them.... but then I got older and realized that most of the players aren't even from the states they're playing for, may not have even gone to college there either, and that they often got traded, and so I was all like 'who cares'. To my analytical mind, even liking the game was silly. Then, if you actually go to a game...they're essentially standing around for most of the 2+hours you're there, partially because of commercial breaks. There's some close games and neat plays and all that, but more often than not you're disappointed, and the 1 on 1 and one-time matchups like the Superbowl IMO also don't test whether or not the best team even wins. But Hockey or Baseball, they'll play 7 games if they have to in order to sort that out.
  22. Taxi Driver was a mindless film with no redeeming qualities. You hated every character except the one you're supposed to hate, (the politician who innocently asks DeNiro what he thinks about some issues, only to be revulsed by the reply) , the film just has long stretches of scenes you only want to walk out on, and there's of course the strangely pointless and graphic violence. DeNiro's character is an unreliable narrator, spoken in a tone of some sort of moral integrity but read off like it's just some throwaway line rather than with any interest in the character's state of mind when saying those things should be. The whole 'hero' ending is absolutely ridiculous and how it's made to seem like he somehow escaped all of the trauma and is perhaps even a normal-ish person just returned back to his regular job again. The best scenes period are just when he's driving the taxi and talking about being a taxi driver (and that's probably because DeNiro actually did that for the role for a few months). I haven't seen Bohemian Rhapsody yet. But I made the mistake of the first clip ever watched of it, being an atrocious repetitive cut scene where the camera flicks back and forth between several people very rapidly while their talking and it's almost dizzying. It's gonna be a while before I bother watching it.
  23. So the jist I'm getting here is... Get some clinchers and just live with tubes? I don't particularly have to worry about flats, I mostly ride on a park road where there's little need to ride on the shoulder...in many years of riding I've only had a flat on that road once, whereas on regular roads I'd get a flat every few months from something. So... 32mm is a bit on the wide side... seems a bit odd to sell a bike with that. I know the industry is probably oriented towards selling comfort, even amongst road bikers.
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