Hurricane Ian

[Tizeye]

5 minutes ago, MickinMD said:

It was confusing to me because the national weather site and Accuweather were posting pictures with no name ID's, but numbers beginning with 9 (corresponds to "I") but the captions underneath said "Hermine."

On Tuesday, they're showing the storm going over western Cuba and say the winds are 125 mph.  Hopefully, the winds will drop off as forecast when the eye is over Florida and Georgia.  I live at roughly the upper right corner of the white square around D.C.  On CNN right now (9 am Tues.) they're calling for the winds to be down to 30 mph by the time it gets to North Carolina.  Sometimes we get major winds from hurricanes but usually it's rain and flooding that is the problem, including when the storm comes up the Chesapeake and drives the water upstream and floods cities like Annapolis - which may happen this time.  Fortunately, almost all my friends and all my family live on high ground that doesn't flood.

 

Part of the reason I use the Navy tracking. Posting the link rather than the photo as my computer decided to act up BIG TIME! Usually copy graphic but this comes as a GIF so take it into Photoshop, convert color from layered to RBG and save as jpg. Unfortunately, Photoshop wouldn't load noting video driver error. Windows Device Manager noted bad driver but automatic update says have most recent. Nvidia shows las GTX 960 was 2018 but attempted install says not compatable with this version of Windows 10 - thanks auto-update Microsoft! What a time for this to happen!  Navy/NRL TC_PAGES Page  Will try to convert the graphic on my MacBook Pro.

The big issue I have with the Navy projection...while only projects out to 10/2, I am heading to visit son in CT 10/6-10/10. Prior paths had it proceeding north through GA, western SC and NC as it lost strength and simply was a major rain maker. The new path, while doesn't show directly, is visually projected to enter the Atlantic between Jacksonville and Savannah and back over warm water could re-strengthen. That potentially could impact my trip to CT.

[maddmaxx ★]

1 hour ago, Tizeye said:

This is my concern, standing in the direction that the wind will be coming from. Huge oaks topple very easy as they collect the wind and don't have deep tap roots but shallow fan out roots in softened rain-soaked ground. (Insurance won't pay/assist with preventative removal). Also surprised my neighbor's son hasn't moved his boat. Don't have to board-up windows as I upgraded a couple years ago with lifetime warranty, including breakage. These are 'hurricane resistant' dual pane windows, and while the outer pane will break, it interior pane is anti-intrusion, including thieves with a hammer. Also have a new roof installed a couple months ago which, of course, has a warranty. Wanted to get it done prior to hurricane season with enough time to heat seal the shingles so they won't lift in wind, but more important, not have blue tarp and a long wait with escalted prices post storm.

 

Hurricanes or not I still wish I was living back in Florida.  The family will have none of it however.  Youngest son's lungs can't deal with the heat and humidity.

[BuffJim]

Latest forecast is a bit of good news for Tampa area. Storm center continues to shift south, so Tampa Bay won’t get the absolute worst. Still a formidable storm, and Tampa’s gain is a loss farther south, Bradenton, Sarasota and points south. 

[Tizeye]

Couldn't resist this one. 

 

[Tizeye]

Noted earlier that problems with PC graphic card driver so switched over to the Mac. Photoshop runs fine on the Mac and could change the color default on the original GIF to RGB and save as a jpg for posting here.

This is what concerns me. Previous paths had it dying out in GA, SC, NC. Now looks like will exit to Atlantic where warm waters will strengthen it. That should be a huge problem for the Mid-Atlantic States and New England. Fearful will impact my planned trip to CT on Oct 6.  On the map, the red lines only project to Oct 2nd.

[12string]

BIG fan of the new maps!  D1 is getting married, the BBQ party is Saturday.  As of yesterday we were expecting rain from Ian

[BuffJim]

Path shifts south again. Threat in Tampa May be shifting to excessive rain, which still can be formidable. Punts Gorda target for landfall. 

[goldendesign]

Yeah, Wind and rain. Not something to shrug off but way better than we were prepping for.

This morning our predictions had 20" of rain and 15' of storm surge. Now we're looking at 9" of rain and hardly any surge. Winds will still be strong 60mph sustained and gusts in the 80s.

Biggest scare now is the oaks and palms. We've had three weeks of consistent heavy evening rain. Our ground is pretty saturated. Winds stay strong enough and the rain dumps enough and we'll have a bunch of downed trees. I've got 12 trees on the property over 20' tall. Several could take out parts of the house.

[Airehead]

24 minutes ago, goldendesign said:

Yeah, Wind and rain. Not something to shrug off but way better than we were prepping for.

This morning our predictions had 20" of rain and 15' of storm surge. Now we're looking at 9" of rain and hardly any surge. Winds will still be strong 60mph sustained and gusts in the 80s.

Biggest scare now is the oaks and palms. We've had three weeks of consistent heavy evening rain. Our ground is pretty saturated. Winds stay strong enough and the rain dumps enough and we'll have a bunch of downed trees. I've got 12 trees on the property over 20' tall. Several could take out parts of the house.

Did they pick up the yard clippings?

[Tizeye]

With the shift south should be some good shark tooth hunting at Venice Beach after the storm passes.  New path taking it up through Orlando then back to the Atlantic around Jacksonville. Appears to follow the path of Charlie, but this is a much weaker storm and expected to be tropical wind strength around 63MPH. and weaker still in Jacksonville. Will be a major rain maker with over a foot anticipates and ground already saturated with afternoon thunderstorms.

[Ralphie ★]

11 hours ago, Old No. 7 said:

Good luck. Hurricanes aren’t fun to ride out but preparations are the best you can do. Maybe you could stuff those palms under the neighbors SUV across the street. Do it at night so they don’t see it was you.

You are contending with Thaddeus for forum miscreant.

 

[Dottleshead ★]

6 minutes ago, Philander Seabury said:

You are contending with Thaddeus for forum miscreant.

 

Thaddeus is a bad arsed miscreant. He's got a really high batting average IMHO.

[BuffJim]

 

[BuffJim]

 

 

[BuffJim]

Basically Cat 5 now

 

[maddmaxx ★]

Pictures of the flooding in Key West due to storm surge remind me that the highest point on the island is 18 feet above sea level.  Much as I like Florida I'm happy I'm not there now.

[BuffJim]

Bump. Avoid all imposter threads 🧵 

[bikeman564™]

1 minute ago, BuffJim said:

Bump. Avoid all imposter threads 🧵 

radar showing near 140 mph winds This radar scope app kicks ass. First time I looked at a hurricane.

[maddmaxx ★]

I've seen store fronts flooding through the front door in Orlando from normal heavy rains.  It's going to be much worse this time.

[BuffJim]

21 minutes ago, bikeman564™ said:

radar showing near 140 mph winds This radar scope app kicks ass. First time I looked at a hurricane.

I just think it’s going to hit higher on the coast, closer to Sarasota/Bradenton. We’ll see. 

[jsharr ★]

1 hour ago, maddmaxx said:

Pictures of the flooding in Key West due to storm surge remind me that the highest point on the island is 18 feet above sea level.  Much as I like Florida I'm happy I'm not there now.

Back to normal

https://liveduvalstreet.com/

[maddmaxx ★]

1 hour ago, jsharr said:

Back to normal

https://liveduvalstreet.com/

I've been there when you could float a boat from one end of Duval ST. to the other.  That same hurricane showed me why there was armored glass on the barracks windows as the wind picked up rocks from the ground and threw them at the barracks.

[ChrisL]

1 hour ago, BuffJim said:

I just think it’s going to hit higher on the coast, closer to Sarasota/Bradenton. We’ll see. 

My FIL lived there but is in TX now.  One of the reasons he picked that part of FL was (his words not mine) the west coast rarely gets a direct hit from hurricanes as they either hit the east coast or travel up the gulf and hit the pan handle, AL, LA & TX.  I don’t really know but found it interesting it hit there.

His ex is still in Bradenton and when we spoke on Monday she had already evacuated the area.

[BuffJim]

 

[Airehead]

Wind and rain. Everyone still ok?  150 mile winds are not to be scoffed at. 

[petitepedal ★]

Florida Yankee & Peebs lost electricity  about 2:30 this afternoon...

[sheep_herder ★]

Friend of my wife that lives in Tampa, just sent me a text of a shark on one of the roads In Fort Meyers.

[Tizeye]

Tonight's music selection

 

[Prophet Zacharia]

1 hour ago, sheep_herder said:

Friend of my wife that lives in Tampa, just sent me a text of a shark on one of the roads In Fort Meyers.

I saw that. 12’ storm surge I have read.

[Wilbur ★]

2 hours ago, sheep_herder said:

Friend of my wife that lives in Tampa, just sent me a text of a shark on one of the roads In Fort Meyers.

Yeah, talking with my boss, his place in Ft Myers beach is pretty much destroyed. 

[Tizeye]

Picking up here and watching outside on my security cameras. Can tell as each band comes through as waves of water then nothing before the next band advances. Still have power. Should be an interesting evening.

Need to figure out how to turn off Ring neighborhood notifications. Keep getting new ones and some are so absurd. Some of my favorites are "Power is still on" (like we care wherever you live). Another "Power is on but it flickered twice in one minute. What do I do?"  Or this one has to be a joke "What's going on - what's up with this weather? I haven't seen anything on the news. Is there a big storm?" (We were remarking earlier that TV wasn't even breaking for commercials.)

My lights just flickered on that last sentence, so will be interesting tonight.

[Tizeye]

Well, I’m up at 5:15. Awake about every hour or so and worst was 1 to 2 as the wind was howling and drinking rain. Reported as having 14” or so thus far as still raining for a few more hours. Storm adjusted course and went just south of us, and currently exiting to to the Atlantic around Cocoa Beach rather than the anticipated St Augustine/Jacksonville area. Still dark outside but front and back look clear with no trees down in my or viewable neighbors yards, and no trees viewable across road. Amazingly, never lost power during the night.

[maddmaxx ★]

May fortune be ever in your favor.

[BuffJim]

Heard a radio news report saying hundreds dead in the Fort Myers area😱😱😱🙏🙏🙏🌊🌊🌊

[goldendesign]

Northwest Tampa faired great. We are very fortunate. Never lost power, not even a stutter. Trees all did well too. Our rain was even pretty low, only a few inches. 

 

[BuffJim]

1 hour ago, goldendesign said:

Northwest Tampa faired great. We are very fortunate. Never lost power, not even a stutter. Trees all did well too. Our rain was even pretty low, only a few inches. 

 

My brother did well in Gainesville. Said a few more bands are on the way, but so far, so good. 

[Allen ★]

Windy as hell right now. I’m trapped at home, multiple fallen trees down the driveway 

[Allen ★]

I’ve heard three trees snap in the last hour

[BuffJim]

2 minutes ago, Allen said:

I’ve heard three trees snap in the last hour

Bummer. Hope they don’t hit the house. 

[Square Wheels]

My mother in laws house was destroyed, she's fine.

[Allen ★]

13 minutes ago, BuffJim said:

Bummer. Hope they don’t hit the house. 

They have been all out in the woods

[12string]

Jr. Wife's mom is in Cape Coral.  Finally heard from her today, she's OK.  But won't send pics of the house.  And sounds like she's still refusing to leave it.

[jsharr ★]

Have a high school friend who lives in North Port.  Have not heard from him.  

[jsharr ★]

I have another friend, who is a news Anchor for WINK in Fort Myers.  He appears to be fine, but had to be evacuated from their studio after a small fire.

[Airehead]

Nature’s Fury 

[Allen ★]

The driveway is cleared now. 
Two pines about 8 inches thick, and a big limb out of a sweet gum. 
Dragged them to the bonfire pile with the tractor. Handy tool that. 

[Square Wheels]

1 hour ago, jsharr said:

Have a high school friend who lives in North Port.  Have not heard from him.  

That's where my mother in law is, sounds like it's a real mess there.

[jsharr ★]

This video is crazy.  It really shows the storm surge.
 

 

[BuffJim]

2 hours ago, jsharr said:

This video is crazy.  It really shows the storm surge.
 

 

Unreal. Kind of an odd optical illusion. The house next door seems to get further and further away. 

[Tizeye]

Celebrated too soon. Didn’t lose power during storm, even dialed fridge and freezer back to normal. Then today power goes out. Wondered why traffic was so heavy outside. Being diverted through neighborhood while pole replaced. Neighbor said got text from Duke, replacing cable, out to Oct 2nd. Hope not. My text from Duke were more generic.