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Doomed - DeathJim may be using another one of his lives


BuffJim

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My beach vacation to Delaware is in jeopardy.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/back-loaded-hurricane-season-bearing-204201726.html

 

(Bloomberg) -- Don’t be lulled by a quiet June and July, the real Atlantic hurricane season is about to kick off.

The hurricane season runs from June 1 to the end of November. But the next six weeks -- “the season within a season” -- is regularly the most dangerous and active time for storms to develop in the Atlantic, said Dennis Feltgen, spokesman for the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

Only two named storms have developed in the Atlantic so far this year. Dry, dusty air from Africa’s Sahara robbed potential storms of moisture, and wind shear spurred by the El Nino climate systems ripped apart budding storms. Now, those brakes on hurricane development are gone.

The result: “A big change in the pattern over the Atlantic, going from a very lackluster quiet weather pattern to a much more active one,” said Dan Kottlowski, the lead hurricane forecaster at AccuWeather Inc. in State College, Pennsylvania. “We are thinking this season will be back-loaded.”

Last week, the U.S. National Weather Service forecast 10 to 17 named storms in the Atlantic. Last year, there were 15, including hurricanes Florence and Michael that killed a combined 96 people and caused more than $49 billion in damage. A storm is named when it reaches tropical storm strength, with maximum sustained winds of at least 39 miles per hour.

So far only two named storms have emerged in the Atlantic this year, and only one came during the hurricane season: Hurricane Barry, which looped through the Gulf of Mexico in July.

 

At risk is $17 trillion in U.S. real estate along the coasts, as well as some of America’s most valuable commodities. More than 45% of U.S. refining capacity and 51% of gas processing is along the Gulf of Mexico coastline. Florida is the world’s second-largest producer of orange juice after Brazil.

There are two other factors that could spur on storms in September, according to Bob Henson, a meteorologist with Weather Underground, an IBM business.

The first is the so-called Madden-Julian Oscillation, a ripple of rising and sinking air that swirls through the atmosphere about every 45 to 60 days that can spark typhoons and hurricanes when combined with other factors. It could affect the Atlantic in late August or September, Henson said.

The second is a fast-moving atmospheric system known as a “convectively-coupled kelvin wave” that’s affected by the earth’s rotation. When one runs into a tropical wave moving off Africa, it can give it a speedy boost to swirl into a hurricane or tropical storm. There is one now moving across the Pacific on its way to the Atlantic, Henson said

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1 minute ago, BuffJim said:

Last week, the U.S. National Weather Service forecast 10 to 17 named storms in the Atlantic. Last year, there were 15, including hurricanes Florence and Michael that killed a combined 96 people and caused more than $49 billion in damage. A storm is named when it reaches tropical storm strength, with maximum sustained winds of at least 39 miles per hour.

I don't remember Florence nor Michael :(

I doubt you have much to worry about.  It is actually sort of fun being hunkered down during a hurricane.

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Just now, Razors Edge said:

I don't remember Florence nor Michael :(

I doubt you have much to worry about.  It is actually sort of fun being hunkered down during a hurricane.

Florence was a prolific rainmaker in the Carolinas last September. Michael was a small but incredibly intense hurricane which devastated the sparsely populated areas just east of Panama City. 

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So is riding out a hurricane from a very safe location on your bucket list?  Seems like it would be sort of cool to be in a hardened concrete structure with a generator and view ports to ride out a hurricane.

Would hate to see the loss to all the people that live in the path of destruction, but just seeing Nature at full force would be cool.

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Maine doesn't get hurricanes, although you might get wet.

The last 2 weeks of August, and the first 2 weeks of Sept tend to have the best weather for a visit. We did all our bike and backpacking trips in the 2nd half of August.

The bugs are mostly gone, the tourists are mostly gone, and the temps are mild, and usually dry.

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18 minutes ago, jsharr said:

So is riding out a hurricane from a very safe location on your bucket list?  Seems like it would be sort of cool to be in a hardened concrete structure with a generator and view ports to ride out a hurricane.

Would hate to see the loss to all the people that live in the path of destruction, but just seeing Nature at full force would be cool.

Yes. If the area was under a mandatory evacuation order I’d leave. Or if I was afraid I’d get trapped somewhere I couldn’t get out of easily. 

My beach vacation is last week of September. 

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28 minutes ago, jsharr said:

So is riding out a hurricane from a very safe location on your bucket list?  Seems like it would be sort of cool to be in a hardened concrete structure with a generator and view ports to ride out a hurricane.

Would hate to see the loss to all the people that live in the path of destruction, but just seeing Nature at full force would be cool.

I rode out one such in Key West when I was stationed there.  Concrete Barracks with chicken wire laminated in the window glass.  We were moved away from the windward side in the middle of the night when softball sized rocks started to fly in from the beachy area.  Part of the base had to go outside during the eye though to retension some guy wires on tall radio masts before the wind changed direction.  That was fun and it was one of the few times I've been hit by the same hurricane more than once as it looped out to Dry Tortuga or so and then turned around and came back.

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7 hours ago, jsharr said:

So is riding out a hurricane from a very safe location on your bucket list?  Seems like it would be sort of cool to be in a hardened concrete structure with a generator and view ports to ride out a hurricane.

Would hate to see the loss to all the people that live in the path of destruction, but just seeing Nature at full force would be cool.

I’ve sat out a tropical storm or 3 at St. Simons. It was cool.

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