COVID-19 Updates

[Dottleshead ★]

 

We're number one in everything now.

 

Country, Other	Total Cases	New Cases	Total Deaths	New Deaths	Total Recovered	Active Cases	Serious, Critical	Tot Cases/ 1M pop	Deaths/ 1M pop	Total Tests	Tests/ 1M pop
World	1,760,995	+62,160	107,645	+4,961	395,656	1,257,694	50,022	226	13.8
USA	521,714	+18,838	20,064	+1,317	28,580	473,070	10,952	1,576	61	2,612,884	7,894
Italy	152,271	+4,694	19,468	+619	32,534	100,269	3,381	2,518	322	963,473	15,935
Spain	161,852	+3,579	16,353	+272	59,109	86,390	7,371	3,462	350	355,000	7,593
France	129,654	+4,785	13,832	+635	26,391	89,431	6,883	1,986	212	333,807	5,114
UK	78,991	+5,233	9,875	+917	344	68,772	1,559	1,164	145	334,974	4,934
Iran	70,029	+1,837	4,357	+125	41,947	23,725	3,987	834	52	251,703	2,997
Belgium	28,018	+1,351	3,346	+327	5,986	18,686	1,262	2,418	289	102,151	8,814
China	81,953	+46	3,339	+3	77,525	1,089	141	57	2

 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

 

[Prophet Zacharia]

12 minutes ago, Dottles said:

Well, we are number #1 now.

https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/coronavirus-pandemic-04-11-20/h_a72b3899f03070ecaad11f4375f1f995

https://www.foxnews.com/us/us-coronavirus-death-toll-passing-italy

The problem, I am told, if that the germ is very smart and is able to resist the effects of antibiotics.

[Wilbur ★]

There is no way China's numbers are accurate.  X 10-20 maybe. 

[Dottleshead ★]

1 minute ago, Prophet Zacharia said:

The problem, I am told, if that the germ is very smart and is able to resist the effects of antibiotics.

That hasn't changed much.

[Prophet Zacharia]

Just now, Dottles said:

That hasn't changed much.

It’s a very stable genius germ.

[Dottleshead ★]

Just now, Wilbur said:

There is no way China's numbers are accurate.  X 10-20 maybe. 

I agree.  If you trust anything coming out of China or Russia -- you're gullible.

[Wilbur ★]

4 minutes ago, Prophet Zacharia said:

The problem, I am told, if that the germ is very smart and is able to resist the effects of antibiotics.

Antibiotics have little to no effect on viral infections.   They really only work on bacterial infections. 

[Prophet Zacharia]

2 minutes ago, Wilbur said:

Antibiotics have little to no effect on viral infections.   They really only work on bacterial infections. 

I know. Our dear leader doesn’t seem to know this. He thinks this “germ” is dangerous because it’s evaded the effects of antibiotics.

 

[Wilbur ★]

1 minute ago, Prophet Zacharia said:

I know. Our dear leader doesn’t seem to know this. He thinks this “germ” is dangerous because it’s evaded the effects of antibiotics.

ahh...   carry on..   

[Dottleshead ★]

1 minute ago, Wilbur said:

ahh...   carry on..   

 

[Dottleshead ★]

Where's the beef? Pork?

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/12/business/meat-plant-closures-smithfield/index.html

[The_Karen_Cooper_Incident]

16 minutes ago, Dottles said:

Where's the beef? Pork?

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/12/business/meat-plant-closures-smithfield/index.html

Smithfield is one of my clients.  This should be interesting news tomorrow.

[Randomguy]

On 4/11/2020 at 2:26 PM, Prophet Zacharia said:

I know. Our dear leader doesn’t seem to know this. He thinks this “germ” is dangerous because it’s evaded the effects of antibiotics.

 

Good lord, that guy knows absolutely nothing about science, health, really not much of anything.

[Dottleshead ★]

17 minutes ago, Randomguy said:

Good lord, that guy knows absolutely nothing about science, health, really not much of anything.

Most America doesn't either. Hmmmm.... I wonder...

[Razors Edge ★]

On 4/7/2020 at 2:34 PM, Razors Edge said:

Almost double in a week.  Not a super high number, but and adding 40 or so a day.

Are we getting up towards Snohomish county rates yet?  Cases closing in, but deaths are fewer.  A doubling in a week, though, for us - total and deaths.

[Dottleshead ★]

This is a really fascinating and insightful article.

https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/evergreenhealth-doctor-opens-up-about-brush-with-death-recovery-after-covid-19/?utm_medium=notification&utm_source=pushly&utm_campaign=507744

[Dottleshead ★]

6 hours ago, Razors Edge said:

Are we getting up towards Snohomish county rates yet?  Cases closing in, but deaths are fewer.  A doubling in a week, though, for us - total and deaths.

 

Dude, you're pulling out Chinese numbers.  Here's the latest off of Google.

 

 

Snohomish County

Confirmed 1,876

Recovered -

Deaths 70

 

Washington

Confirmed 10,224

Recovered -

Deaths 491

 

United States

Confirmed 586,057

Recovered 43,637

Deaths 23,604

 

Worldwide

Confirmed 1,919,913

Recovered 449,589

Deaths 119,666

[Razors Edge ★]

7 hours ago, Dottles said:

 

Dude, you're pulling out Chinese numbers.  Here's the latest off of Google.

 

 

Snohomish County

Confirmed 1,876

Recovered -

Deaths 70

 

Washington

Confirmed 10,224

Recovered -

Deaths 491

 

United States

Confirmed 586,057

Recovered 43,637

Deaths 23,604

 

Worldwide

Confirmed 1,919,913

Recovered 449,589

Deaths 119,666

I get my info from some moran on the web:

[Randomguy]

[shootingstar]

Just learned from a business partner in Toronto, that 3 of his friends and relatives in NYC died from covid-19. 4th person is quite sick.

[Dottleshead ★]

I don't care what Trump or my governor or anybody else says.  I'm not looking for a politician to tell me when it's OK to go back to work.

[The_Karen_Cooper_Incident]

44 minutes ago, shootingstar said:

Just learned from a business partner in Toronto, that 3 of his friends and relatives in NYC died from covid-19. 4th person is quite sick.

Ugh.  I'm so sorry to hear this.  This is all so freak'in depressing.

[Wilbur ★]

1 hour ago, shootingstar said:

Just learned from a business partner in Toronto, that 3 of his friends and relatives in NYC died from covid-19. 4th person is quite sick.

Sadly, we will all be touched by this.  Sorry to hear. 

[Dottleshead ★]

1 minute ago, Wilbur said:

Sadly, we will all be touched by this.  Sorry to hear. 

I'm really not looking forward to the first announcement by a member in here that says they've got it.  I suspect it's only a matter of time.  I personally am starting to get borderline paranoid about it.  Life is pretty fragile as it is.

[Randomguy]

31 minutes ago, Dottles said:

I'm really not looking forward to the first announcement by a member in here that says they've got it.  I suspect it's only a matter of time.  I personally am starting to get borderline paranoid about it.  Life is pretty fragile as it is.

Yes, this will happen.  Look at how it bounced around a little bit in your neck of the woods, then caught fire here.  Oh well, that is NYC, all densely packed like sardines and full of wickedness.  It started spreading out to the outer boroughs and burbs, then NJ and CT, and now many more people have it and it is spreading out.

I hate to say it, but it sure seems definite that it will come to every neighborhood where the people in the forum live, except maybe Dennis.  I hope antisocial distancing helps more before a vaccine is effective and distributed widely, but the medium term doesn't seem so promising.

[Prophet Zacharia]

We’ve had fewer than 50 new cases a day in my county per day for the past 9 days, and 21 or fewer the last three days. I hope this keeps in the right direction, long-term.

[donkpow]

I still have good confidence. I wish there were more effective masks for personal protection available. All the retail outlets are always sold out.

[BuffJim]

Got good news about my brother's best friend. He was conscious and able to do a Skype call yesterday! His wife was thrilled. Hopefully the recovery continues.

[maddmaxx ★]

44 minutes ago, Randomguy said:

Yes, this will happen.  Look at how it bounced around a little bit in your neck of the woods, then caught fire here.  Oh well, that is NYC, all densely packed like sardines and full of wickedness.  It started spreading out to the outer boroughs and burbs, then NJ and CT, and now many more people have it and it is spreading out.

I hate to say it, but it sure seems definite that it will come to every neighborhood where the people in the forum live, except maybe Dennis.  I hope antisocial distancing helps more before a vaccine is effective and distributed widely, but the medium term doesn't seem so promising.

I hope it works too.  I'm being as antisocial as possible.

[Kzoo]

1 minute ago, maddmaxx said:

I'm being as antisocial as possible.

After several decades of practice?   

[maddmaxx ★]

5 minutes ago, Kzoo said:

After several decades of practice?   

Indeed.  I'm surprisingly good at it now.

[Kzoo]

8 minutes ago, maddmaxx said:

Indeed.  I'm surprisingly good at it now.

[dinneR ★]

58 minutes ago, Randomguy said:

Yes, this will happen.  Look at how it bounced around a little bit in your neck of the woods, then caught fire here.  Oh well, that is NYC, all densely packed like sardines and full of wickedness.  It started spreading out to the outer boroughs and burbs, then NJ and CT, and now many more people have it and it is spreading out.

I hate to say it, but it sure seems definite that it will come to every neighborhood where the people in the forum live, except maybe Dennis.  I hope antisocial distancing helps more before a vaccine is effective and distributed widely, but the medium term doesn't seem so promising.

We are considered a hotspot for Wyoming. We have the highest number of cases per capita in the state. WY just had it's first death. We were the last state to have someone die. It's not bad here compared to other areas of the country or world. The fear is from tourists. Swan Valley, ID got nailed. We are a similar ski town. It seems the tourists have mostly left, but the second homeowners continue to fly in on their private jets. If they fly in from hotspots like NY, they could bring it. We are not predicted to peak until May 7.

[Prophet Zacharia]

Russia has joined the Covid party. With 21,000 + confirmed cases, and a surge of “pneumonia” deaths.

[shootingstar]

2 hours ago, dennis said:

We are considered a hotspot for Wyoming. We have the highest number of cases per capita in the state. WY just had it's first death. We were the last state to have someone die. It's not bad here compared to other areas of the country or world. The fear is from tourists. Swan Valley, ID got nailed. We are a similar ski town. It seems the tourists have mostly left, but the second homeowners continue to fly in on their private jets. If they fly in from hotspots like NY, they could bring it. We are not predicted to peak until May 7.

For town of Banff, in national park, they're shut down. Only 3% occupancy in their hotels right now. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-a-ghost-town-with-tourist-access-cut-off-banff-unemployment-soars/

It gets a lot of Alberta and tourists from outside of Canada.  It's important they hold the lockdown this year:  this area has been very popular with mainland Chinese, Japanese (and probably Korean) tourists in the past decade or so. So if China is lifting controls slowly this year.....

It is not clear if they have any cases but the town won't be able to cope well. Their hospital is not equipped for acute/intensive care. People seriously injured /sick get transported to Calgary which is 110 km. away.

 

[Wilbur ★]

3 minutes ago, shootingstar said:

For town of Banff, in national park, they're shut down. Only 3% occupancy in their hotels right now. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-a-ghost-town-with-tourist-access-cut-off-banff-unemployment-soars/

It gets a lot of Alberta and tourists from outside of Canada.  It's important they hold the lockdown this year:  this area has been very popular with mainland Chinese, Japanese (and probably Korean) tourists in the past decade or so. So if China is lifting controls slowly this year.....

It is not clear if they have any cases but the town won't be able to cope well. Their hospital is not equipped for acute/intensive care. People seriously injured /sick get transported to Calgary which is 110 km. away.

 

My brother had his cooks prepare and deliver all food from the refrigerators to a nearby food bank before closing his pub in Banff.  This is costing him over 100K per month. 

[shootingstar]

36 minutes ago, Wilbur said:

My brother had his cooks prepare and deliver all food from the refrigerators to a nearby food bank before closing his pub in Banff.  This is costing him over 100K per month. 

Super hard. He must seriously wonder if he'll have anything left after pandemic or be in serious debt. It is also time to reconsider a different biz, if he was ever entertaining that over the last few years.

Dearie's son is striking a different partnership with another new person. Dearie is close to closing the contract (which dearie crafted.  He used to do this as contracts portfolio negotiator and the run it by his corporate lawyer for oil firm).  Dearie and I have serious reservations about this new party. But hey, son is 40+ yrs. old...big boy 

Their landlord relationship at present location needs to improve.  Hoping for another  shuttered store location and better landlord to move and open up on Danforth St.

Online ordering for meat and.....organic eggs has taken off like a shot in  past 2 wks. There is a customer who does a lot of baking who wants to buy average of 6 dz. eggs / wk. from shop.

[shootingstar]

12 minutes ago, Wilbur said:

My brother had his cooks prepare and deliver all food from the refrigerators to a nearby food bank before closing his pub in Banff.  This is costing him over 100K per month. 

We've never been inside that pub in Banff. Neither dearie or I are pubby customers. He did go for  drink or 2 with work colleagues several decades ago in Toronto and biz trips. Then he lost interest when his part-time farm venture outside of Peterborough consumed his energy/time.

I would have to look at the menu.  I admit that I'm not a bar person and would feel out of place. 

[Wilbur ★]

26 minutes ago, shootingstar said:

Super hard. He must seriously wonder if he'll have anything left after pandemic or be in serious debt. It is also time to reconsider a different biz, if he was ever entertaining that over the last few years.

Dearie's son is striking a different partnership with another new person. Dearie is close to closing the contract (which dearie crafted.  He used to do this as contracts portfolio negotiator and the run it by his corporate lawyer for oil firm).  Dearie and I have serious reservations about this new party. But hey, son is 40+ yrs. old...big boy 

Their landlord relationship at present location needs to improve.  Hoping for a shuttered other store location and better landlord to open up on Danforth St.

Online ordering for meat and.....organic eggs has taken off like a shot in  past 2 wks. There is a customer who does a lot of baking who wants to buy average of 6 dz. eggs / wk. from shop.

It is a very successful pub and he has very deep pockets so, he isn't going anywhere.  His next career is parking himself in Maui for 6 months of the year.   

[maddmaxx ★]

41 minutes ago, Wilbur said:

My brother had his cooks prepare and deliver all food from the refrigerators to a nearby food bank before closing his pub in Banff.  This is costing him over 100K per month. 

100k out of pocket or 100k in lost revenue?

[shootingstar]

5 minutes ago, Wilbur said:

It is a very successful pub and he has very deep pockets so, he isn't going anywhere.  His next career is parking himself in Maui for 6 months of the year.   

Maui --after covid-19 presumably. Unless he has a place already which still a lot of small towns and islands don't want visitors/vacationers.

[Wilbur ★]

5 minutes ago, maddmaxx said:

100k out of pocket or 100k in lost revenue?

OOP. 

[Wilbur ★]

2 minutes ago, shootingstar said:

Maui --after covid-19 presumably. Unless he has a place already which still a lot of small towns and islands don't want visitors/vacationers.

Yes, he has a house there.  Well established. 

[dinneR ★]

4 hours ago, shootingstar said:

For town of Banff, in national park, they're shut down. Only 3% occupancy in their hotels right now. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-a-ghost-town-with-tourist-access-cut-off-banff-unemployment-soars/

It gets a lot of Alberta and tourists from outside of Canada.  It's important they hold the lockdown this year:  this area has been very popular with mainland Chinese, Japanese (and probably Korean) tourists in the past decade or so. So if China is lifting controls slowly this year.....

It is not clear if they have any cases but the town won't be able to cope well. Their hospital is not equipped for acute/intensive care. People seriously injured /sick get transported to Calgary which is 110 km. away.

 

We are shut down too. I would guess our hotels are at less than 3% occupancy as most are closed. We also see tourists from around the world. I know you don't think Canadians come here, but they do. That's a fact. In 2015 Yellowstone, saw 500,000 Chinese tourists. Our parks see 3.5-4 million visitors a year. 

Our hospital is small. I see regular helicopter flights. They fly many patients to Idaho so that they can handle the case load load here. 

 

[shootingstar]

11 minutes ago, dennis said:

We are shut down too. I would guess our hotels are at less than 3% occupancy as most are closed. We also see tourists from around the world. I know you don't think Canadians come here, but they do. That's a fact. In 2015 Yellowstone, saw 500,000 Chinese tourists. Our parks see 3.5-4 million visitors a year. 

Our hospital is small. I see regular helicopter flights. They fly many patients to Idaho so that they can handle the case load load here. 

 

 A work colleague has been to Yellowstone and many years later, she brought along her sister (from Wuhan) and nephew within the last few years.  Not surprisingly they love the cooler summers, fresh air, etc.  They enjoyed themselves. I just don't hear  other colleagues talk about Yellowstone at all.  Some of our national parks are just huge, etc...so much to explore in home province and next door province (British Columbia).  It's more expensive for Canadians to travel in the U.S. on a frequent basis. Our dollar is weaker, so maybe some of these colleagues don't go  often. I know a lot of them head out to British Columbia ..just a few hrs. of driving for them.

As for Chinese visitors from China:  https://www.rmotoday.com/banff/tourism-industry-adjusting-to-chinese-canadian-tensions-1574117

..in 2018, Canada welcomed 737,000 visitors from China, a record-breaking number that was up six per cent over 2017.

She said China continues to be a vital market for Alberta’s tourism economy, and in 2016 accounted for 135,000 visitors, many of whom visit Banff and Lake Louise.

[Dottleshead ★]

Well, if you can believe it -- this woman either has really bad luck or that bug is some nasty, nasty shit.

https://nypost.com/2020/04/13/nc-woman-gets-covid-19-despite-staying-home-for-three-weeks/

[Prophet Zacharia]

My county posted it’s lowest new cases rate today in a long time, +11. Pretty good for a mid-sized City and surroundings. Unfortunately there is no bubble around us.

[Dottleshead ★]

1 minute ago, Prophet Zacharia said:

My county posted it’s lowest new cases rate today in a long time, +11. Pretty good for a mid-sized City and surroundings. Unfortunately there is no bubble around us.

Yeah we're doing well here too.  The rate of new cases is really flattening out.

[Dottleshead ★]

A new study released Monday by the Bellevue-based Institute for Disease Modeling shows the rate of transmission from one person to another has dropped in King and Snohomish counties and is now at or near a level viewed as manageable by public health experts. This analysis attributes the decline largely to the strict social distancing regulations.

Other data — such as the rate of increase in new COVID cases, hospitalizations and deaths — are also trending in the right direction in many parts of the state as well.

Modeling from the University of Washington shows daily statewide deaths from the virus could drop below five by May 1. But, if Gov. Jay Inslee lifts his “Stay home, stay healthy” order, coronavirus-related deaths could rise again in the summer, the same modeling predicts.

 

https://www.heraldnet.com/news/when-life-returns-to-normal-it-wont-be-the-normal-you-knew/

[Randomguy]

10 minutes ago, Dottles said:

Yeah we're doing well here too.  The rate of new cases is really flattening out.

Things are fine here, no worries.